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Who’s ahead in Pennsylvania?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

April 24-30
600LV
April 24-30
600LV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

46%

Stein

5%

Oliver

3%
46%
TrumpTrump+5
April 24-30
600LV
April 24-30
600LV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+4
April 25-29
1,000RV
April 25-29
1,000RV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

6%

Stein

1%

West

1%
45%
TrumpTrump+4
April 25-29
1,000RV
April 25-29
1,000RV
Biden
49%
Biden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+2
April 19-25
1,288LV
April 19-25
1,288LV
Biden
49%
Biden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+1
April 15-25
417RV
April 15-25
417RV
Biden
35%
Biden
35%

Biden

35%

Trump

35%

Kennedy

18%
35%
TrumpEven
April 15-25
417RV
April 15-25
417RV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Trump+3
April 20-21
802RV
April 20-21
802RV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+5
April 13-21
628LV
April 13-21
628LV
Kennedy
40%
Kennedy
40%

Kennedy

40%

Trump

41%
41%
Trump  Trump+1
April 13-21
628LV
April 13-21
628LV
Biden
47%
Biden
47%

Biden

47%

Kennedy

42%
42%
Kennedy  Biden+4
April 11-16
1,141RV
April 11-16
1,141RV
Biden
48%
Biden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Even
April 11-16
1,141RV
April 11-16
1,141RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

8%

Stein

2%

West

1%
44%
TrumpTrump+2
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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